Red Star FC 93 1-3 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.9
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
30.0
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
8%
5.73
X/2
14%
5.66
X/X
14%
4.26
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
19%
3.83
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.0 — our 8% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.10/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.11
+4% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
17.4 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Red Star FC 93
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Troyes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.95 xG 1.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
352 Passes 365
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Troyes Troyes 2-2 HT 2-2 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
08.11.2024 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 0-3 HT 0-1 Troyes Troyes FR2
23.04.2019 Troyes Troyes 2-0 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
30.11.2018 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 0-3 HT 0-2 Troyes Troyes FR2
14.04.2017 Troyes Troyes 3-2 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
18.11.2016 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 1-2 HT 0-1 Troyes Troyes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Red Star FC 93
1-3
AWAY Troyes
1.48 xG 1.47
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
387 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Red Star FC 93 vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Troyes beat Red Star FC 93 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Troyes as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Red Star FC 93 had 59% of the ball to Troyes's 41%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.48 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Troyes led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Red Star FC 93 and 2.50 for Troyes.

What was the final score of Red Star FC 93 vs Troyes?

Red Star FC 93 1-3 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Red Star FC 93 vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Red Star FC 93 33%, draw 26%, Troyes 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Troyes), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Troyes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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