Troyes 2-2 Red Star FC 93 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
21.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.43
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
16%
4.24
X/2
7%
9.02
X/X
15%
4.32
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
9%
7.69
2/X
7%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Troyes EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.49/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.76
+4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
17.8 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Troyes
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Red Star FC 93
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
2.00 xG 0.73
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
396 Passes 341
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 0-3 HT 0-1 Troyes Troyes FR2
23.04.2019 Troyes Troyes 2-0 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
30.11.2018 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 0-3 HT 0-2 Troyes Troyes FR2
14.04.2017 Troyes Troyes 3-2 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
18.11.2016 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 1-2 HT 0-1 Troyes Troyes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Troyes
2-2
AWAY Red Star FC 93
0.46 xG 1.61
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
244 Passes 397
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Troyes vs Red Star FC 93
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Troyes and Red Star FC 93 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Troyes at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Troyes had 40% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 60%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.46 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Troyes had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Troyes and 0.60 for Red Star FC 93.

What was the final score of Troyes vs Red Star FC 93?

Troyes 2-2 Red Star FC 93 in the France - Ligue 2 on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Troyes vs Red Star FC 93?

Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Troyes 49%, draw 30%, Red Star FC 93 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Troyes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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