Pau vs Stade Lavallois Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pau v Stade Lavallois — Team-Based Signals
Pau vs Stade Lavallois Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Pau
FR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Stade Lavallois
FR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Pau
FR2
Pau 1-0 Stade Lavallois — Actual Match Statistics
Pau squeezed past Stade Lavallois 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pau as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Pau had 50% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 50%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 2.38 to 0.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pau's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pau and 1.00 for Stade Lavallois.
What was the final score of Pau vs Stade Lavallois?
Pau 1-0 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pau vs Stade Lavallois?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pau 44%, draw 27%, Stade Lavallois 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pau), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.