Amiens SC 0-1 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.6
2-3 Goals
47%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
3.16
6+ Goals
8%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 29% vs market 21.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.72
1/2
11%
21.7
1/X
6%
16.25
X/1
7%
9.8
X/2
10%
4.16
X/X
15%
5.54
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.1
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
49%
Away Win
56%
-7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 60%
+23% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.07/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.91
-5% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +44%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
13.2 Crosses 16.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.25
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
279 Passes 399
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-1 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
02.12.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
11.03.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-1 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
22.10.2022 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
27.10.2019 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-2 HT 1-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR1
06.04.2019 Amiens SC Amiens SC 2-2 HT 1-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amiens SC
0-1
AWAY Saint-Etienne
0.85 xG 2.65
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
374 Passes 577
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
19 Box Touches 44
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Etienne squeezed past Amiens SC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Saint-Etienne as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Amiens SC had 41% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 59%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 0.85 to 2.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Saint-Etienne's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amiens SC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Amiens SC and 1.00 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Saint-Etienne?

Amiens SC 0-1 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 25%, draw 27%, Saint-Etienne 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Etienne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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