Le Mans FC 1-0 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.72
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
13%
4.34
X/2
10%
7.48
X/X
11%
4.16
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
9%
6.24
2/X
8%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 29%
-16% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.48/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.28
-75% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
28.2 Crosses 14.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Grenoble
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.75 xG 0.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
350 Passes 273
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2019 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
12.02.2011 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
30.08.2010 Grenoble Grenoble 0-1 HT 0-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
07.03.2010 Grenoble Grenoble 1-1 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR1
16.12.2009 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR1
23.05.2009 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Mans FC
1-0
AWAY Grenoble
0.53 xG 1.22
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
119 Passes 446
55% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Le Mans FC vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC edged past Grenoble 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Le Mans FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Le Mans FC had 30% of the ball to Grenoble's 70%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.53 to 1.22 — on chances, Grenoble could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Mans FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Le Mans FC and 0.33 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Grenoble?

Le Mans FC 1-0 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 47%, draw 27%, Grenoble 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Mans FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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