Dunkerque vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Dunkerque v Pau — Team-Based Signals
Dunkerque vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Dunkerque 3-1 Pau — Actual Match Statistics
Dunkerque put daylight between themselves and Pau 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Dunkerque as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, Dunkerque had 49% of the ball to Pau's 51%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.49 to 2.41 — by the quality of chances, Pau deserved more.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunkerque had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dunkerque and 0.67 for Pau.
Dunkerque vs Pau Result & Final Score
Dunkerque 3 - 1 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Dunkerque vs Pau Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Dunkerque win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 52%, draw 26%, Pau 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunkerque), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.