Dandenong City 3-2 Altona Magic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.33
Over 2.5
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.5
No
36%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
51%
-12.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
62%
+1.5pp
36%
BTTS No
38%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 29%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.59/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.37
-20% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong City
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Altona Magic
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.47 xG 1.96
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
246 Passes 367
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.07.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 2-1 HT 0-1 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
09.04.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 2-0 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
09.07.2021 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-1 HT 0-1 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
10.04.2021 Altona Magic Altona Magic 2-2 HT 0-1 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong City vs Altona Magic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong City nicked a narrow win over Altona Magic 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Dandenong City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Dandenong City and 1.50 for Altona Magic.

What was the final score of Dandenong City vs Altona Magic?

Dandenong City 3-2 Altona Magic in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong City vs Altona Magic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dandenong City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dandenong City 38%, draw 26%, Altona Magic 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dandenong City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dandenong City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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