Heidelberg United 1-1 Oakleigh Cannons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+6.2pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
43%
Away Win
55%
-12.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.4pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons EU Bookmakers 60%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.29/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.03
+10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
275 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidelberg United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
2.01 xG 2.37
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
246 Passes 292
63% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.06.2023 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 5-1 HT 3-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
10.03.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 0-5 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
26.08.2022 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 3-3 HT 1-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
13.06.2022 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 2-3 HT 1-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
13.03.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 2-0 HT 1-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
05.03.2021 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 1-1 HT 1-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Heidelberg United vs Oakleigh Cannons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United and Oakleigh Cannons shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Oakleigh Cannons at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Heidelberg United and 2.67 for Oakleigh Cannons.

What was the final score of Heidelberg United vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Heidelberg United 1-1 Oakleigh Cannons in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidelberg United vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oakleigh Cannons win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Heidelberg United 29%, draw 28%, Oakleigh Cannons 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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