Melbourne Knights 1-3 Port Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Feb 2024

Melbourne Knights
1-3 HT 0-1
Port Melbourne
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Melbourne Knights vs Port Melbourne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melbourne Knights v Port Melbourne — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.03/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.56
-14% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.9 Crosses 19.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Melbourne Knights vs Port Melbourne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Knights
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Port Melbourne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.11 xG 2.87
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
272 Passes 441
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.08.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-0 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
16.06.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
18.03.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-3 HT 0-2 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
21.08.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
13.05.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
26.02.2021 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 0-1 HT 0-1 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Melbourne Knights vs Port Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Melbourne got the better of Melbourne Knights 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne Knights at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Melbourne Knights and 1.00 for Port Melbourne.

What was the final score of Melbourne Knights vs Port Melbourne?

Melbourne Knights 1-3 Port Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Knights vs Port Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Knights 47%, draw 26%, Port Melbourne 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✓ BTTS Yes
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