Aalesund 1-3 Kristiansund BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Feb 2024

Aalesund
1-3 HT 1-0
Kristiansund BK
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.18
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
2.97
6+ Goals
13%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aalesund v Kristiansund BK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 42%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+11% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kristiansund BK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.20 xG 2.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
281 Passes 277
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.10.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 4-0 HT 2-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
03.04.2022 Aalesund Aalesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
04.10.2020 Aalesund Aalesund 1-2 HT 1-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
21.06.2020 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 7-2 HT 3-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
21.10.2017 Aalesund Aalesund 1-1 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
17.06.2017 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kristiansund BK beat Aalesund 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Kristiansund BK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kristiansund BK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aalesund and 2.50 for Kristiansund BK.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK?

Aalesund 1-3 Kristiansund BK in the Friendlies on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 38%, draw 26%, Kristiansund BK 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalesund) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalesund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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