Aston Villa U21 4-0 Middlesbrough U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
2.19
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
29%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.14
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.32
No
48%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
42%
+12.6pp
17%
Draw
23%
-5.8pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
72%
-19.5pp
48%
BTTS No
28%
+19.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U21
4-0
AWAY Middlesbrough U21
2.53 xG 0.56
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
428 Passes 294
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa U21 swept aside Middlesbrough U21 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aston Villa U21 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aston Villa U21 had 57% of the ball to Middlesbrough U21's 43%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.53 to 0.56.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Aston Villa U21 4-0 Middlesbrough U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U21 54%, draw 17%, Middlesbrough U21 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aston Villa U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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