Hearts 1-3 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.43
2-3 Goals
44%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.09
1/2
8%
20.55
1/X
8%
16.05
X/1
8%
10.65
X/2
18%
4.25
X/X
12%
6.03
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
2/2
23%
1.99
2/X
5%
14.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+6.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-10.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 62%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.57/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.82
+27% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
195 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.6
17.0 Crosses 22.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Rangers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.17 xG 1.72
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
297 Passes 392
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Rangers Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
03.08.2024 Hearts Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
18.05.2024 Hearts Hearts 3-3 HT 1-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
21.04.2024 Rangers Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKK
24.02.2024 Rangers Rangers 5-0 HT 3-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
06.12.2023 Hearts Hearts 0-1 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
1-3
AWAY Rangers
2.61 xG 1.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 7
322 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
42 Box Touches 28
28 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers got the better of Hearts 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rangers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hearts had 53% of the ball to Rangers's 47%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 2.61 to 1.58 — on chances, Hearts could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hearts and 2.00 for Rangers.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Rangers?

Hearts 1-3 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hearts 26%, draw 26%, Rangers 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rangers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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