Valladolid 0-4 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.62
Over
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.48
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
22%
4.45
6+
9%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.44
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
9%
15.1
X/1
13%
7.69
X/2
9%
4.38
X/X
10%
4.03
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.72
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla The Market 51%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.17/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.25
+1% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.8 Crosses 19.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Sevilla
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.95 xG 1.87
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
227 Passes 417
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 2-1 HT 1-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
14.05.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 0-3 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
19.08.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
20.03.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 1-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
19.12.2020 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 1-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
26.06.2020 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
0-4
AWAY Sevilla
0.46 xG 1.06
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
469 Passes 425
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla cruised past Valladolid 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sevilla as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Valladolid had 52% of the ball to Sevilla's 48%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.46 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Valladolid and 1.50 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Sevilla?

Valladolid 0-4 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 32%, draw 26%, Sevilla 42%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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