Mallorca 3-1 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.62
Over
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.51
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
22%
4.38
6+
10%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.41
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
13%
4.14
X/2
9%
8.81
X/X
16%
4.18
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
8%
7.64
2/X
6%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas The Market 24%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +15%
1.26/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.71
-17% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
22.0 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Las Palmas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.19 xG 0.86
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
244 Passes 424
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-3 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
11.05.2024 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
12.08.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
04.04.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 0-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
10.01.2021 Mallorca Mallorca 0-1 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
17.03.2019 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-2 HT 1-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
3-1
AWAY Las Palmas
1.68 xG 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
336 Passes 350
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca beat Las Palmas 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mallorca as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mallorca had 49% of the ball to Las Palmas's 51%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.68 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mallorca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mallorca and 1.00 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Las Palmas?

Mallorca 3-1 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 49%, draw 28%, Las Palmas 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mallorca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mallorca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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