Avellino vs Crotone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avellino v Crotone — Team-Based Signals
Avellino vs Crotone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Avellino
İTC
3-1
HT 2-0
Crotone
İTC
2-0
HT 1-0
Avellino
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
Crotone
İTB
3-1
HT 1-0
Avellino
İTB
Avellino 2-1 Crotone — Actual Match Statistics
Avellino edged past Crotone 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Avellino made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Avellino had 51% of the ball to Crotone's 49%, shots finished 12-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avellino had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Avellino and 1.00 for Crotone.
What was the final score of Avellino vs Crotone?
Avellino 2-1 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avellino vs Crotone?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Avellino 39%, draw 27%, Crotone 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.