Vicenza 1-1 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.44
Over 2.5
47%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
1.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
6.02
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
66%
-12.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
34%
+12.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.1pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
0.88/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.86
-27% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Padova Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
25.05.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-1 HT 0-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
22.05.2024 Vicenza Vicenza 2-0 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
06.03.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-1 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
29.10.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-1 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
08.01.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-1 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
1-1
AWAY Padova Calcio
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza and Padova Calcio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Vicenza had 49% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 51%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vicenza had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vicenza and 0.67 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs Padova Calcio?

Vicenza 1-1 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 39%, draw 28%, Padova Calcio 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vicenza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vicenza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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