Bayern München (K) 1-0 Werder Bremen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 16 Feb 2025

Bayern München (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Werder Bremen (K)
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Bayern München (K) vs Werder Bremen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.11
Draw
20%
7.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
3.06
No
45%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
84%
-20.1pp
20%
Draw
9%
+10.5pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
28%
+26.9pp
45%
BTTS No
72%
-26.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern München (K) v Werder Bremen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
2.42/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.77
-1% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +80%
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
460 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 76%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
19.8 Crosses 15.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.3

Bayern München (K) vs Werder Bremen (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.63 xG 0.76
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
496 Passes 231
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.09.2024 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB
22.04.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) ALKB

Bayern München (K) 1-0 Werder Bremen (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
1-0
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
1.83 xG 0.10
74% Ball Possession 26%
18 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
674 Passes 178
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
42 Box Touches 2
21 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) squeezed past Werder Bremen (K) 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 74% of the ball to Werder Bremen (K)'s 26%, shots finished 18-2, expected goals 1.83 to 0.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayern München (K)'s control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayern München (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Bayern München (K) and 0.00 for Werder Bremen (K).

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Bayern München (K) 1-0 Werder Bremen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 64%, draw 20%, Werder Bremen (K) 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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