Esperança dAndorra 1-2 Penya Encarnada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
7.95
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
70%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.15
Over 2.5
64%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
25%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
10%
+3.0pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.8pp
70%
Away Win
73%
-3.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
43%
-6.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
57%
+6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esperança dAndorra EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 78%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.07/3.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.57
-89% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -14%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esperança dAndorra
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Penya Encarnada
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 4-1 HT 3-1 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
05.05.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 3-2 HT 0-0 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
03.12.2023 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 0-3 HT 0-1 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
17.09.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 1-0 HT 1-0 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esperança dAndorra
1-2
AWAY Penya Encarnada
26% Ball Possession 74%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Esperança dAndorra vs Penya Encarnada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Encarnada squeezed past Esperança dAndorra 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Penya Encarnada as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Esperança dAndorra had 26% of the ball to Penya Encarnada's 74%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Penya Encarnada led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Esperança dAndorra and 2.75 for Penya Encarnada.

What was the final score of Esperança dAndorra vs Penya Encarnada?

Esperança dAndorra 1-2 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - 1st Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esperança dAndorra vs Penya Encarnada?

Before kick-off our model rated an Penya Encarnada win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Esperança dAndorra 13%, draw 18%, Penya Encarnada 70%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penya Encarnada), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Penya Encarnada) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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