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Perth Glory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perth Glory (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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Perth Glory (K) 2-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Perth Glory (K) nicked a narrow win over Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Wellington Phoenix (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Perth Glory (K) had 54% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 46%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.24 to 1.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wellington Phoenix (K).
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Perth Glory (K) and 2.50 for Wellington Phoenix (K).
What was the final score of Perth Glory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Perth Glory (K) 2-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perth Glory (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory (K) 36%, draw 22%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) went the other way.