Melbourne Victory (K) 2-0 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.13/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.68
+26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
19.5 Crosses 14.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.22
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
370 Passes 250
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
10.02.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
2-0
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
1.40 xG 0.97
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
356 Passes 275
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Melbourne Victory (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory (K) saw off Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Melbourne Victory (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Melbourne Victory (K) had 54% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 46%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.40 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Melbourne Victory (K) and 1.00 for Central Coast Mariners (K).

What was the final score of Melbourne Victory (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Melbourne Victory (K) 2-0 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory (K) 39%, draw 28%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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