Midtjylland 1-0 Lyngby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 16 Feb 2025

Midtjylland
1-0 HT 1-0
Lyngby
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

Midtjylland vs Lyngby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.27
6+ Goals
13%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 28% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.75
X/1
18%
3.8
X/2
6%
13.9
X/X
9%
6.21
2/1
9%
22.55
2/2
10%
12.0
2/X
9%
20.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.8pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.1pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Midtjylland v Lyngby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyngby EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -19%
1.98/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.58
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.9 Crosses 17.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Midtjylland vs Lyngby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Lyngby
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.66 xG 1.51
57% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 Passes 252
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
36 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.08.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 1-2 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
27.10.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-1 HT 1-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
06.08.2023 Lyngby Lyngby 4-1 HT 2-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
07.05.2023 Lyngby Lyngby 2-1 HT 2-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
10.04.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
12.03.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-3 HT 0-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN

Midtjylland 1-0 Lyngby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
1-0
AWAY Lyngby
1.41 xG 1.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
359 Passes 365
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Lyngby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland squeezed past Lyngby 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Midtjylland had 50% of the ball to Lyngby's 50%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.41 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Midtjylland and 1.83 for Lyngby.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Lyngby?

Midtjylland 1-0 Lyngby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Lyngby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 52%, draw 26%, Lyngby 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✗ BTTS Yes
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