Eastern 3-4 Lee Man — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lee Man EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.41/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.13
+7% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lee Man
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.11 xG 0.85
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
157 Passes 252
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 1-2 HT 0-1 Eastern Eastern HK1
16.03.2024 Eastern Eastern 1-1 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
28.10.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
18.03.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
19.11.2022 Eastern Eastern 0-1 HT 0-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
24.06.2022 Lee Man Lee Man 1-3 HT 1-2 Eastern Eastern AFCC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern
3-4
AWAY Lee Man
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Eastern vs Lee Man
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man nicked a narrow win over Eastern 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Lee Man found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Eastern had 57% of the ball to Lee Man's 43%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastern had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Eastern and 1.00 for Lee Man.

What was the final score of Eastern vs Lee Man?

Eastern 3-4 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern vs Lee Man?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastern win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Eastern 38%, draw 24%, Lee Man 38%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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