Kagoshima United 1-1 Kamatamare Sanuki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
1.50/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.29
+16% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 22.3
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-1 HT 0-1 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
02.04.2023 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 2-0 HT 1-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
11.09.2022 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 3-2 HT 2-1 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
29.05.2022 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 0-4 HT 0-3 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
28.08.2021 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 1-2 HT 1-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
06.06.2021 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-2 HT 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
1-1
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
159 Passes 308
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
7 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Kamatamare Sanuki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United and Kamatamare Sanuki shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 43% of the ball to Kamatamare Sanuki's 57%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kagoshima United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kagoshima United and 1.33 for Kamatamare Sanuki.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Kagoshima United 1-1 Kamatamare Sanuki in the Japan - J3 League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 38%, draw 29%, Kamatamare Sanuki 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kagoshima United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✓ Under 2.5
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