Tochigi SC 1-0 Kochi United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.92
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-12.3pp
37%
Draw
28%
+8.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kochi United EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
1-0
AWAY Kochi United
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
161 Passes 146
59% Pass Accuracy 61%
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Kochi United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi SC edged past Kochi United 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 37% / 28%) promised a tight game; Tochigi SC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 45% of the ball to Kochi United's 55%, shots finished 5-14.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Kochi United?

Tochigi SC 1-0 Kochi United in the Japan - J3 League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Kochi United?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 36%, draw 37%, Kochi United 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5
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