Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.4pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.3pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.15/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.52
-15% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses 16.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
368 Passes 262
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
06.05.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
02.12.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-2 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
05.03.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
24.07.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-2 HT 0-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
05.06.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0-1
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
69% Ball Possession 31%
23 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
347 Passes 130
75% Pass Accuracy 55%
34 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano nicked a narrow win over Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Parceiro Nagano made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 69% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 31%, shots finished 23-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.83 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Parceiro Nagano?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 37%, draw 24%, Parceiro Nagano 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parceiro Nagano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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