Parceiro Nagano 3-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.53/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.30
+8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
02.12.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-2 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
05.03.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
24.07.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-2 HT 0-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
05.06.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
29.08.2021 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-1 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
3-1
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
262 Passes 368
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano got the better of Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Parceiro Nagano as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 43% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 57%, shots finished 17-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 0.83 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Parceiro Nagano 3-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 44%, draw 26%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parceiro Nagano), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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