Grulla Morioka 0-3 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 55%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
1.06/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.64
-6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grulla Morioka
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 4-1 HT 2-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
01.10.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-2 HT 1-1 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
25.03.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-1 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
05.12.2021 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
19.06.2021 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 3-2 HT 2-2 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
11.10.2020 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grulla Morioka
0-3
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
277 Passes 404
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Grulla Morioka vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azul Claro Numazu swept aside Grulla Morioka 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Azul Claro Numazu as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Grulla Morioka had 40% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 60%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grulla Morioka had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Grulla Morioka and 1.50 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Grulla Morioka vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Grulla Morioka 0-3 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grulla Morioka vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Grulla Morioka 28%, draw 27%, Azul Claro Numazu 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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