Fukushima United 0-1 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.65/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.44
+16% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fukushima United
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Ryukyu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-2 HT 0-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
02.12.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
26.03.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-1 HT 0-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fukushima United
0-1
AWAY Ryukyu
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
447 Passes 279
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fukushima United vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu squeezed past Fukushima United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fukushima United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fukushima United had 62% of the ball to Ryukyu's 38%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fukushima United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fukushima United and 0.33 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Fukushima United vs Ryukyu?

Fukushima United 0-1 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fukushima United vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fukushima United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fukushima United 43%, draw 27%, Ryukyu 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fukushima United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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