Gainare Tottori 2-1 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.14/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.05
-12% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Nara Club
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.06.2024 Nara Club Nara Club 2-2 HT 2-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
26.11.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 1-2 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
29.04.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-2 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
2-1
AWAY Nara Club
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
287 Passes 336
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori edged past Nara Club 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nara Club at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 48% of the ball to Nara Club's 52%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gainare Tottori and 1.67 for Nara Club.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Nara Club?

Gainare Tottori 2-1 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nara Club win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 32%, draw 27%, Nara Club 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nara Club), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nara Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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