Azul Claro Numazu 4-1 Grulla Morioka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +7%
1.58/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.06
+16% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Grulla Morioka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-2 HT 1-1 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
25.03.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-1 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
05.12.2021 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
19.06.2021 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 3-2 HT 2-2 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
11.10.2020 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
29.07.2020 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-2 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
4-1
AWAY Grulla Morioka
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs Grulla Morioka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azul Claro Numazu swept aside Grulla Morioka 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Azul Claro Numazu as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 59% of the ball to Grulla Morioka's 41%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grulla Morioka led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Azul Claro Numazu and 1.67 for Grulla Morioka.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs Grulla Morioka?

Azul Claro Numazu 4-1 Grulla Morioka in the Japan - J3 League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs Grulla Morioka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 47%, draw 24%, Grulla Morioka 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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