Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-1 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+7.2pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.0pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.16/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.99
-1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Nara Club
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
03.05.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 3-0 HT 2-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2-1
AWAY Nara Club
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki nicked a narrow win over Nara Club 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nara Club at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 36% of the ball to Nara Club's 64%, shots finished 5-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nara Club led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 2.00 for Nara Club.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Nara Club?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-1 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nara Club win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 35%, draw 23%, Nara Club 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nara Club), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nara Club) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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