Omiya Ardija 1-0 Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Osaka EU Bookmakers 33%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.19
+9% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
1-0
AWAY Osaka
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija edged past Osaka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Omiya Ardija made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 52% of the ball to Osaka's 48%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Osaka?

Omiya Ardija 1-0 Osaka in the Japan - J3 League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 40%, draw 27%, Osaka 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ BTTS No
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