Gainare Tottori 1-0 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.25/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.12
-3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
268 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Fukushima United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-2 HT 0-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
15.04.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-0 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
23.07.2022 Fukushima United Fukushima United 3-2 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
15.05.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-4 HT 0-3 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
05.09.2021 Fukushima United Fukushima United 2-1 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
26.06.2021 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-1 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
1-0
AWAY Fukushima United
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori squeezed past Fukushima United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Gainare Tottori made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 43% of the ball to Fukushima United's 57%, shots finished 10-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fukushima United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gainare Tottori and 2.00 for Fukushima United.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Fukushima United?

Gainare Tottori 1-0 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainare Tottori win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 39%, draw 27%, Fukushima United 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainare Tottori) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gainare Tottori) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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