Kataller Toyama 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.61/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.38
+28% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-1 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
19.03.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 3-2 HT 2-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
13.11.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 HT 0-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
27.03.2022 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-2 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
04.10.2014 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-2 HT 1-2 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP2
06.05.2014 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-2 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
1-0
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama edged past Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Kataller Toyama found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 46% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 54%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kataller Toyama had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kataller Toyama and 1.50 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Kataller Toyama 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 39%, draw 28%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kataller Toyama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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