Imabari 3-3 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imabari EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.48/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.56
+8% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Imabari
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 Imabari Imabari 2-0 HT 2-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
13.11.2022 Imabari Imabari 3-3 HT 1-2 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
10.07.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-1 HT 0-1 Imabari Imabari JAP3
05.12.2021 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-0 HT 0-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
05.06.2021 Imabari Imabari 0-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
29.11.2020 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-0 HT 0-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imabari
3-3
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Imabari vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Imabari and Parceiro Nagano shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Imabari at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Imabari had 60% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 40%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Imabari and 0.83 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Imabari vs Parceiro Nagano?

Imabari 3-3 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imabari vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Imabari 43%, draw 26%, Parceiro Nagano 31%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Imabari) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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