Gor Mahia 0-0 Tusker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tusker EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.02/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.15
+85% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gor Mahia
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Tusker
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Tusker Tusker 2-1 HT 0-0 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
20.01.2024 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 1-0 HT 1-0 Tusker Tusker KEN
09.04.2022 Tusker Tusker 0-0 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gor Mahia
0-0
AWAY Tusker
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs Tusker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia and Tusker played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Gor Mahia had 61% of the ball to Tusker's 39%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gor Mahia and 0.67 for Tusker.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Tusker?

Gor Mahia 0-0 Tusker in the Kenya - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Tusker?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 39%, draw 31%, Tusker 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gor Mahia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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