Tusker vs Gor Mahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tusker v Gor Mahia — Team-Based Signals
Tusker vs Gor Mahia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Tusker 2-1 Gor Mahia — Actual Match Statistics
Tusker squeezed past Gor Mahia 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 35% / 27% — and on the day Tusker made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tusker had 42% of the ball to Gor Mahia's 58%, shots finished 3-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gor Mahia led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Tusker and 0.50 for Gor Mahia.
What was the final score of Tusker vs Gor Mahia?
Tusker 2-1 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tusker vs Gor Mahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tusker 38%, draw 35%, Gor Mahia 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tusker) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.