Nairobi City Stars 1-1 KCB Nairobi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.16
No
66%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.7pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.3pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-8.2pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nairobi City Stars EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 38%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.75/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.78
-7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nairobi City Stars
0W-0D-1L
AWAY KCB Nairobi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
17.12.2021 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 0-1 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nairobi City Stars
1-1
AWAY KCB Nairobi
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nairobi City Stars vs KCB Nairobi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nairobi City Stars and KCB Nairobi shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, Nairobi City Stars had 48% of the ball to KCB Nairobi's 52%, shots finished 5-11.

What was the final score of Nairobi City Stars vs KCB Nairobi?

Nairobi City Stars 1-1 KCB Nairobi in the Kenya - Premier League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nairobi City Stars vs KCB Nairobi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nairobi City Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nairobi City Stars 36%, draw 31%, KCB Nairobi 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nairobi City Stars), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nairobi City Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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