Sofapaka 2-1 Posta Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.1pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 25%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.00/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.34
-100% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +126% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sofapaka
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Posta Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.12.2021 Sofapaka Sofapaka 1-1 HT 0-1 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN2
POST-MATCH Sofapaka vs Posta Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sofapaka nicked a narrow win over Posta Rangers 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sofapaka as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Posta Rangers?

Sofapaka 2-1 Posta Rangers in the Kenya - Premier League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Posta Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sofapaka win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 43%, draw 27%, Posta Rangers 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sofapaka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sofapaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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