Ismaily 0-4 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

Ismaily
0-4 HT 0-1
Al Ahly
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Egypt - Premier League – 2024/2025

Ismaily vs Al Ahly Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 36% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+8.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
54%
Away Win
64%
-10.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ismaily v Al Ahly — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 69%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
0.69/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.69
-49% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +9%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
263 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 83%
11.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
12.5 Crosses 19.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4

Ismaily vs Al Ahly Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ismaily
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Ahly
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.62 xG 1.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
324 Passes 369
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.05.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
08.10.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-1 HT 2-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
05.07.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
19.10.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
21.08.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 0-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
27.10.2021 Ismaily Ismaily 0-4 HT 0-3 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR

Ismaily 0-4 Al Ahly — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ismaily
0-4
AWAY Al Ahly
0.12 xG 2.60
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 4
199 Passes 388
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 28
6 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly cruised past Ismaily 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Ismaily had 38% of the ball to Al Ahly's 62%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.12 to 2.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ismaily and 1.83 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs Al Ahly?

Ismaily 0-4 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 21%, draw 24%, Al Ahly 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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