Smouha 1-4 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.66
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
7.13
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.6pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.8pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +18%
1.24/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.10
+16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
15.9 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
2W-3D-1L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.34 xG 0.96
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
279 Passes 263
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2024 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-2 HT 1-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
13.02.2024 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
19.02.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-2 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
25.10.2022 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 1-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
17.07.2022 Smouha Smouha 0-1 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
10.02.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-2 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
1-4
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
0.98 xG 2.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
280 Passes 211
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Smouha vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

National Bank of Egypt ran out comfortable winners over Smouha 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and on the day National Bank of Egypt made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Smouha had 54% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 46%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.98 to 2.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smouha had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Smouha and 1.17 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of Smouha vs National Bank of Egypt?

Smouha 1-4 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Smouha 34%, draw 33%, National Bank of Egypt 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Smouha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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