Heartland 2-1 Shooting Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.67
No
68%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.7pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.5pp
32%
BTTS Yes
33%
-1.6pp
68%
BTTS No
67%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heartland EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.35/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.27
-8% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heartland
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Shooting Stars
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
29.09.2024 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
19.04.2024 Heartland Heartland 1-0 HT 1-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
03.12.2023 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 0-0 HT 0-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
02.02.2022 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 4-0 HT 0-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heartland
2-1
AWAY Shooting Stars
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Heartland vs Shooting Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heartland edged past Shooting Stars 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Heartland as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heartland had 63% of the ball to Shooting Stars's 37%, shots finished 25-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shooting Stars led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Heartland and 1.25 for Shooting Stars.

What was the final score of Heartland vs Shooting Stars?

Heartland 2-1 Shooting Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heartland vs Shooting Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heartland win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Heartland 44%, draw 34%, Shooting Stars 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heartland) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heartland) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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