Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-0 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 16 Feb 2025

Jagiellonia Bialystok
3-0 HT 1-0
Motor Lublin
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Motor Lublin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
2.9
6+ Goals
14%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.32
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
21%
4.53
X/2
10%
8.72
X/X
6%
5.47
2/1
6%
21.45
2/2
12%
6.35
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jagiellonia Bialystok v Motor Lublin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.86/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.41
+22% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
21.1 Crosses 22.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Motor Lublin Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Motor Lublin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.81 xG 0.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
335 Passes 335
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.09.2024 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 0-2 HT 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL

Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-0 Motor Lublin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
3-0
AWAY Motor Lublin
1.45 xG 0.81
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
475 Passes 319
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok swept aside Motor Lublin 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jagiellonia Bialystok as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 57% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 43%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.45 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Motor Lublin?

Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-0 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 50%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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