Stal Mielec vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stal Mielec v Pogon Szczecin — Team-Based Signals
Stal Mielec vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-1
Stal Mielec
POL
4-2
HT 2-0
Stal Mielec
POL
4-2
HT 2-1
Pogon Szczecin
POL
0-1
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
Stal Mielec 1-2 Pogon Szczecin — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Szczecin squeezed past Stal Mielec 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Pogon Szczecin found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Stal Mielec had 55% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 45%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.44 to 1.11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stal Mielec and 1.67 for Pogon Szczecin.
What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Pogon Szczecin?
Stal Mielec 1-2 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Pogon Szczecin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Mielec win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 38%, draw 28%, Pogon Szczecin 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.