Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-9.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.3pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 19%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +27%
1.66/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.93
+16% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
20.1 Crosses 13.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.62 xG 1.25
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
337 Passes 184
79% Pass Accuracy 64%
32 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-1 HT 0-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
02.05.2024 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-2 HT 1-2 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
03.04.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
29.10.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 4-1 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
30.10.2022 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
17.07.2022 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1-0
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.98 xG 1.15
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
404 Passes 145
84% Pass Accuracy 61%
32 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac edged past Mladost Lucani 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 67% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 33%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.98 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 1.17 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Mladost Lucani?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 53%, draw 27%, Mladost Lucani 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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