Hatayspor 1-0 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.5
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
7%
6.7
X/2
16%
5.22
X/X
10%
4.94
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
15%
3.06
2/X
9%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.8pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.12/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.02
+12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
17.8 Crosses 20.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.60 xG 1.80
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
252 Passes 484
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
23.01.2024 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
27.08.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
09.10.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
20.01.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 6-0 HT 2-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
28.08.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 5-0 HT 3-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
1-0
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.24 xG 1.89
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
235 Passes 339
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 28
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor squeezed past Alanyaspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Hatayspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hatayspor had 43% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 57%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.24 to 1.89 — on chances, Alanyaspor could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hatayspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hatayspor and 1.17 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Alanyaspor?

Hatayspor 1-0 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 34%, draw 28%, Alanyaspor 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alanyaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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