Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fenerbahçe v Kasımpaşa — Team-Based Signals
Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Fenerbahçe
TSL
5-1
HT 2-1
Kasımpaşa
TSL
0-6
HT 0-3
Fenerbahçe
TSL
Fenerbahçe 3-1 Kasımpaşa — Actual Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe beat Kasımpaşa 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Fenerbahçe had 45% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 55%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.62 to 1.07.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Fenerbahçe and 0.33 for Kasımpaşa.
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa?
Fenerbahçe 3-1 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Kasımpaşa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 61%, draw 21%, Kasımpaşa 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.