Kasımpaşa 0-3 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 9 Jan 2025

📅09/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
12.23
Draw
20%
8.78
Away
52%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
5%
+23.6pp
20%
Draw
8%
+12.3pp
52%
Away Win
88%
-36.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 94%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +150%
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
190 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 598 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.70 xG 3.04
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
248 Passes 389
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 0-2 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
24.02.2024 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-1 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
08.10.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 0-2 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
29.01.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 5-1 HT 2-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
15.08.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 0-6 HT 0-3 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
28.02.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-2 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
0-3
AWAY Fenerbahçe
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe swept aside Kasımpaşa 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 32% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 68%, shots finished 5-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kasımpaşa and 3.17 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe?

Kasımpaşa 0-3 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Cup on 09/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 28%, draw 20%, Fenerbahçe 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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