Gaziantep FK 4-0 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 9 Jan 2025

📅09/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.3
6+ Goals
8%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 31% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.03
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.9
X/1
18%
3.85
X/2
9%
10.8
X/X
13%
5.64
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
14%
8.37
2/X
5%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
3W-3D-0L
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.38 xG 1.23
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
290 Passes 387
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.02.2024 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-3 HT 1-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
22.09.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
09.01.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
26.01.2019 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK T1L
19.08.2018 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
18.02.2018 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
4-0
AWAY İstanbulspor
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK swept aside İstanbulspor 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gaziantep FK as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 50% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 50%, shots finished 19-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gaziantep FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gaziantep FK and 0.83 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs İstanbulspor?

Gaziantep FK 4-0 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - Cup on 09/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 46%, draw 26%, İstanbulspor 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaziantep FK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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