Erzurumspor FK 0-1 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 9 Jan 2025

Erzurumspor FK
0-1 HT 0-1
Göztepe
📅09/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2024/2025

Erzurumspor FK vs Göztepe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.51
6+ Goals
11%
13.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.51 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
20%
6.07
1/2
9%
24.7
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
9%
8.17
X/2
12%
4.43
X/X
8%
4.77
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.55
2/X
7%
13.35
Value flag · 1/1 at 6.07 — our 20% vs market 12.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
25%
+10.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Erzurumspor FK v Göztepe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Erzurumspor FK vs Göztepe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Göztepe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.54 xG 1.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 Passes 277
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.04.2024 Göztepe Göztepe 3-0 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
12.11.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 3-2 HT 2-1 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
21.01.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
21.08.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 1-1 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
08.03.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 3-1 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK TSL
07.11.2020 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL

Erzurumspor FK 0-1 Göztepe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
0-1
AWAY Göztepe
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe squeezed past Erzurumspor FK 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Göztepe as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 51% of the ball to Göztepe's 49%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göztepe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 1.83 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Göztepe?

Erzurumspor FK 0-1 Göztepe in the Turkey - Cup on 09/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 36%, draw 22%, Göztepe 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göztepe), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Göztepe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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